Tallinn 10:00-16:00
Riga 10:00-16:00
Vilnius 10:00-16:00
Moscow 09:30-17:45
Stockholm 10:00-18:20
Helsinki 10:00-18:20
2010-02-01 23:59:01
EUR/USD 0.7188
EUR/LVL 1.4110
EUR/LTL 0.2896
EUR/EEK 0.0639
EUR/SEK 0.0986
EUR/RUB 0.0237
Indices: / OMXR 0.00% / OMXV 0.00% / OMXT 0.00% / OMXS30 0.00% / OMXH25 0.00% / RTS 0.00%                     Stocks: SKF-B 0.00% / CHMFS 0.00% / SSAB-A 0.00% / LKOHS 0.00% / OUT1V 0.00% / SKF-B 0.00% / CHMFS 0.00% / SSAB-A 0.00% / LKOHS 0.00% / OUT1V 0.00%                     Porfolios: WeeklyWinner 5.74% / Lakers 4.80% / portfeliss2 4.76% / CapasXP3 4.71% / Arturcikas 01 4.58%
 

HEL (Helsinki) - Helsinki Stock Market Overview

Year: 2010 Week: 4
 
This week OMX Helsinki 25 Index (OMXH25) opened with a value of 2057 points and, while Monday contradicted the last week’s negative market growth by a small increase, the declining trend forced it’s way back on Tuesday. Wall Street and the global banking industry were thrown into a maelstrom by Mr. Obama’s proposition of the most far-fetched overhaul of Wall Street since the 1930s reports Financial Times. OMXH25 has no choice but to follow the falling NASDAQ index. As a result the week ended with the closing value of 2035 points and an overall decline of -1.29%.
 
 

Figure 1: Price Index OMXH25 (red) and NASDAQ (blue) (http://markets.ft.com)  

 
The top performer this week was Stockmann A (STCAS) with a price of €25 per share. It has increased by 10.13% this week, which was absolutely enough to be the best short-term investment this week. The main reason it has increased by more than 1/10 of its value was that HTT Holding company has purchased a huge amount of Stockmann’s shares and increased its percentage of the voting rights up to 10.55%. As a matter of fact, that last week Stockmann has released their annual summary which was not as bad as it could be, there is a high possibility that the price of its value will remain at the current level or even will go up.

The second best performer of the week is Wärtsilä Oyj Abp (WRT1V) a company, which focuses on the marine and energy markets with products and solutions as well as services. Over the month WRT1V price was slowly, yet steadily heading up following NASDAQ overall trend. However, possibly due to company’s good performance in December and the illusion of an overall rise in shares’ prices on Monday investors were a bit too optimistic, which resulted in WRT1V price rising a bit too much. Nevertheless, the company’s claim to reduce its manufacturing capacity on Tuesday and the world trend took their toll on the share price, forcing it to decline. Still, the week ended with a 9.18% increase for WRT1V, but with no hope of such jump next week, when the fall is expected to continue.
 
 

Figure 2: Price Index WRT1V (red) and NASDAQ (blue) (http://markets.ft.com)  

 
The company Stora Enso R (STERV) was again the main faller of this week. It is an integrated paper, packaging and forest products company, producing all sorts of paper for different purposes. The monthly chart for development of the share price shows that the price was growing steadily starting on the 28th of December with 4.87 Euro per share, reaching the peak of 5.32 Euro per share on the 8th of January. But later on it was not so successful and the price has been constantly falling, reaching the minimum of the month of 4.478 Euro on 22nd of January. Besides the fact that the overall situation in the industry is taking turn for the worse, Stora Enso has its own problems now. It will record non-recurring items (NRI) with a negative impact of approximately EUR 42 million on operating profit. Also, the impact of these NRIs will be the negative earnings per share in the amount of 0.04 Euro. One of the NRIs is the penalty in the amount of 30 million Euros imposed by the Finnish Market Court for the collaboration with other firms in the industry and exchanging information concerning prices of purchasing raw materials. Taking into account the recent news about the firm and the industry, we doubt that shareholders will increase investment in these shares and probably the price will fall even more. 

Figure 3: Stock price of Stora Enso (red) and OMX Helsinki 25 Index (blue). (http://markets.ft.com)

 
During Week 3 of 2010 a company Outotec (OTE1V)has gone down by 8.79% becoming a second worst performer on Helsinki market. The company started this week with a price of 26.56 Euros per share and closed it at 24.07 Euros per share. Outotec is primarily engaged in the development and supply of technology for the mineral processing and metallurgical industries. Throughout the year the price per share of the company was constantly fluctuating by +/- 2Euros, but overall the trend was growing. The last increase started in the middle of December, 2009, and the price reached its peak on January 13, 2010. If we use technical analysis as the basis for our predictions, we can assume that the current drop is just another one, and that the price will reach its bottom in mid-February and will start growing again. From the perspective of fundamental analysis, several major events occurred this week. First of all, in November 2009 Outotec acquired an industrial company Larox, which operated with significant losses in 2009. From January 22nd more than 90% of all Larox shares and votes tendered to Outotec. Ownership of this company doesn’t seem to be profitable. Moreover, Outotec repeats overall world and industrial descending tendency.
 
Figure 4: Performance of Outotec shares (red) and OMX Helsinki 25 Index (blue) (http://markets.ft.com)
 
So as we see, although OMX Helsinki 25 (OMXH25) index was following world’s tendencies during the week, the changes in prices of the different stocks had an exceptional variance. Since the time when all the companies will have announced the results of 2009 is coming, we may expect that due to speculations such extreme ups and downs in value of a different shares will be apparent during the following week as well.


Review by: Yaroslava Obertas, Jekaterina Kolbina, Stasys Karbauskas, Vladimirs Račejevs, Julius Juodinis